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British Think-tank Lowers World Economic Growth Expectations

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2014-08-08 09:20:00 来源:大连商品交易所网站 
According to Xinhua News Agency, the National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR), a British think-tank, released the latest quarterly forecast report on the 5th to lower the global economic growth expectation for this and next year to 3.5% and 3.7% from 3.6% and 3.9% predicted in May.

The NIESR estimated the gross domestic product (GDP) growth of the United States this year at 1.9%, significantly lower than its previous prediction of 2.7%. The first quarter of this year saw the U.S. economy shrinking dramatically due to the cold weather, which is the main reason for the reduced growth expectation. Next year the U.S. economy is likely to rebound to 3.0 percent, a small increase from the 2.9% predicted previously by the institution.

The NIESR also raised the economic growth expectations for the euro area and China in this and next year, predicting 1.0% and 1.8% growths respectively for this and next year in the euro area, 0.1 percentage point higher than both figures of previous forecast; China will grow by 7.4% and 7.2%, 0.2 percentage point higher than the previous predictions.

The institute believes that due to a series of policies to ensure growth introduced by Chinese government, China"s economic growth will stabilize and near the official target of 7.5%. Despite the improvement in the short-term economic prospects, attention should be paid to the prevention and control of risks such as the excessive dependence of economic growth on debts and the credit expansion. The institute predicts that from 2016 to 2020, China"s annual average economic growth rate is 6.6%.
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