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Global Bulk Commodity Market to Fall into “Winter”

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2014-11-10 10:06:48 来源:大连商品交易所网站 

  Not many economic factors are more important than the bulk commodity price. When the price increases, it will transfer wealth and power from consumers to producers and when it falls, consumers will seem to have a “free lunch” in terms of economics. Therefore, the bulk commodity price is of great significance and its turning point is vital to the global economy. And such a turning point seems to come at present.

  The prices of many commodities have fallen and some even rapidly. Recently, the Bloomberg Commodity Index has dropped to the lowest level in five years and the continuous supply increase of many commodities and the gradual slowdown of global economy (including China’s economy) have been depressing the bulk commodity price. According to the estimation of International Monetary Fund (IMF), the price of global bulk commodity has dropped by 8.3% compared with that at the beginning of this year. The report recently released by the IMF shows that the fall of US$ 20 per bucket of oil price will increase consumers’ actual income, boost domestic demand and economic growth of consuming countries, and meanwhile affect the export and demand of oil producing countries. The IMF estimated that it will lead to the 0.5% increase of global GDP or even about 1.2% if the economic confidence has been improved.

  

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  【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点,与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立,不对所包含内容的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考,并请自行承担全部责任。